Description

This analysis provides a forecast of DOT prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-03-23 3.728452 3.973070 4.236699 4.543975 4.894966 5.286728 5.761906
2025-03-30 3.379786 3.708823 4.084098 4.550780 5.126122 5.827613 6.774205
2025-04-06 3.076228 3.450727 3.896820 4.481354 5.250675 6.268142 7.796944
2025-04-13 2.794949 3.186573 3.668590 4.326645 5.240668 6.538956 8.701420
2025-04-20 2.657342 3.083555 3.627447 4.405696 5.559007 7.354543 10.817524
2025-04-27 2.542994 2.997813 3.597642 4.494996 5.913649 8.351801 13.983809
2025-05-04 2.473181 2.962724 3.630744 4.679151 6.463141 9.929979 20.403102
2025-05-11 2.377385 2.883147 3.591822 4.747758 6.841639 11.405471 30.341667
2025-05-18 2.274061 2.784197 3.514007 4.742055 7.087297 12.769758 47.606502
2025-05-25 2.137497 2.628554 3.337918 4.549379 6.923778 13.004744 61.802050
2025-06-01 2.041029 2.524411 3.231650 4.463573 6.965209 13.904697 109.633375
2025-06-08 1.965545 2.445906 3.158346 4.426187 7.104747 15.280726 480.858729
2025-06-15 1.900407 2.386050 3.120947 4.471761 7.509049 18.465197 NaN
2025-06-22 1.826486 2.308956 3.050485 4.448841 7.759430 21.739021 NaN
2025-06-29 1.746831 2.218806 2.952164 4.360670 7.825196 24.506639 NaN
2025-07-06 1.660805 2.114603 2.823622 4.198200 7.647607 25.545388 NaN
2025-07-13 1.620748 2.078904 2.807085 4.261072 8.155375 34.920131 NaN
2025-07-20 1.585402 2.048293 2.796518 4.335701 8.754484 53.862324 NaN
2025-07-27 1.565432 2.040500 2.824661 4.500264 9.787581 144.983198 NaN
2025-08-03 1.531544 2.008299 2.806556 4.558219 10.489946 1932.335490 NaN
2025-08-10 1.491372 1.963710 2.762457 4.548493 10.922799 NaN NaN
2025-08-17 1.432533 1.886067 2.652848 4.366699 10.476170 NaN NaN
2025-08-24 1.389787 1.833258 2.586464 4.284797 10.493640 NaN NaN